Scale, Spend & Urgency
Together they are a toolkit to cool our atmosphere.
Peak Heat Days are becoming much hotter.
A hotter world is coming at us faster than we thought.
Scale up solutions. Spend whatever it takes. Urgency is crucial.
An effective plan requires 3 building blocks:
Scale, Spend and Urgency
Translation text: Atmospheric CO2 at Mauna Loa Observatory. Parts per million.
Scripps Institution of Oceanography, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory.
A chart showing the steadily increasing concentrations of Carbon Dioxide in the atmosphere (in parts per million) observed at NOAA's Mauna Loa Observatory in Hawaii over the course of 60 years. NOAA
Scale, Spend and Urgency
Turned into action, they can reverse our current course towards global disaster.
Rolling back the Climate Emergency requires us to make addressing
it our top
priority—as nations, and as a world. There is no partner or adversary
to be on the
side of a human-made apocalypse.
In the same way that the democracies
Soviet Union during the war,
we can once
as a united world community.
"The only thing we have to fear is fear itself."
Franklin Delano Roosevelt - March 4th, 1933
Embracing what works: Scale, Spend and Urgency
Are we afraid of developing large scale technical remedies to quell the Climate Emergency?
Are we afraid to think big, and are we afraid to mobilize our society to meet the challenge?
Are we afraid to "declare war" on Climate Change, and field an army of millions to fight it?
Are we afraid to commit the necessary financial resources to actually do what is needed?
Are we afraid of declaring it the foremost commitment of our governing agenda?
We were not afraid to do what was necessary during the last existential global crisis.
As was courageously done in WWII,
GOVERNMENT MUST TAKE CHARGE...
...in order to plan, produce and execute
a command strategy that insures
we do what
and to maintain a livable planet.
Engage the private sector—
but the goals to quickly reverse Global Warming must be promulgated
by the power of governmental authority. Our survival depends on it.
World War II Liberty Ships - In just four years time, the United States produced 2,710 of these impressive vessels. If all were set together stern to bow, they would stretch over 215 miles. The US produced a total of 5,200
major ships in that time period.
"The B-24 Liberator long-range bomber had 1,550,000 parts. One came off the line every 63 minutes."
- PBS These –––––>
US factories manufactured 297,000
warplanes, and a total of 637,000 aircraft
by the Allies alone. American and Canadian industry built 86,000 tanks—and delivered
them across a dangerous ocean.
Before there was an interstate highway system, forty thousand US made locomotives were committed to move troops and war matériel by the extensive rail network in place at that time, wherever they might be needed.
SANTA FE STEAM RAILROAD WWII COMMITMENT
70,000,000 soldiers, sailors, airmen, WACS, WAVES and WASPS participated in the war effort from Allied nations (Underlined links: Women in the US Military during WWII).
In World War Two, scale was no object and unlimited funding was no deterrent to completing the mission. Urgency drove the agenda.
To reverse Climate Change, only global scale remedies will save us.
Governments need to turn off CO2 pollution everywhere as fast as humanly possible.
They will also need to legislate remedies to remove skyborne CO2 with the same intensity.
A refurbished Liberty Ship sends a message. Richmond Museum of History
US B-24 Liberator - A bomber an hour, 24/7. US World War II production line.
Embracing Vast Scale Climate Solutions
Large scale natural and technical solutions have the power to rewrite our future, from one of continuing environmental degradation, to one of balance in our relationship with the global climate systems on which we depend.
We might consider...
A) ...that the cost of such remedies is less a concern than the benefits to be derived from their implementation.
B) ...that the alteration of our societal priorities is essential. No priority is as crucial as reversing course, and of altering the dynamics of our warming climate. Specifically, perhaps no goal is more important than quickly lowering average global temperatures.
World War II types of commitments to unlimited funding, to implementation of large-scale technical and natural remedies, and enshrining these values in legislation and treaties is a clear priority. WWII taught us that prioritizing mass production at massive scale was a vital key to winning the war.
Today, unlimited mass production of MegaScale Fire Drones and 1.5 billion Carbon Capture Cars are now also what is needed—just as fast as we can do it.
In World War II, Supreme Allied Commanders were empowered to mandate all aspects of effectively pursuing a global war. Tackling the Climate Emergency might require just such an approach in order to cut through bureaucracy, and to be maximally effective in its goals.
Had the Allies lost WW II, that might have been the end of democracy. If we do not address the Climate Emergency, it could mean the end of the world as we know it. That is a stark statement with no way to sugar coat it.
CO2 is invisible. Peat fields are now beginning to release their Methane in the tundra far away, but there's no newsreel from the front.
"Global governments and major polluters must take urgent action to develop technologies which can capture and store Carbon emissions or it will be 'virtually impossible' for the world to meet its climate targets, according to the International Energy Agency." THE GUARDIAN
As "Democracy is the worst form of government—except for all the rest," then so too "Expensive vast-scale climate solutions are the worst remedies—except for all the rest."
There are many voices out there that claim Climate Change is a 'hoax'. Yet, one only need look at the daily headlines to know how pervasive and devastating are the detrimental effects of a warming globe.
One only need experience how hotter our everyday life has become to know that action and not nonsense are the order of the day.
Climate Change is real.. it's here now.
Large scale solutions can reverse it.
Peak Heat Days are becoming much hotter.
F = Farenheit and C = Celsius
Antarctica, Feb., 2020: 65ºF/8ºC.
- It is the 2nd hottest temperature ever recorded there.
In July of 2019, France and Germany experienced their highest temperatures ever recorded. Paris sweltered at 116ºF/46ºC.
Peak Heat Days in California and the western portion of the United States and Canada in 2020 and 2021 smashed all previous records.
"On September 6, 2020, around 1:30 p.m., Los Angeles County recorded its highest temperature ever at 121°F/49°C at Woodland Hills. Several other cities, like Paso Robles and Palmdale, also hit record highs." EARTH OBSERVATORY - NASA
June 16th, 2021 "Phoenix hit 115ºF/46ºC on Wednesday, (and for the first time ever) the second day in a row..." AZ CENTRAL
Portland, Oregon - June 21st, 2021 - 117ºF/47ºC NYT
Lytton, British Columbia - Tuesday, June 29th, 2021 - 121ºF/49ºC — "The hottest moment ever seen anywhere in Canada since record-keeping began." FORBES
And "In August 2020, Death Valley reached 130ºF/54ºC—possibly the highest temperature ever reliably recorded on Earth." EARTH OBSERVATORY - NASA
2020 - "European scientists reported that November’s global temperatures were the highest ever, surpassing the previous records, set in 2016 and 2019". NY TIMES
But "July 2021 is the hottest month on record, period. 'In this case, first place is the worst place to be.' NOAA Administrator Rick Spinrad said in the announcement of this grim record." STATISTA
And "The United States had its hottest summer on record this year, 2021, narrowly edging out the previous milestone that was set 85 years ago during the Dust Bowl. [...Another time we were monumentally careless with respect to the natural world.]
NOAA, The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, announced Thursday that the average temperature this summer — 2021 — for the contiguous U.S. was 74 degrees Fahrenheit, or 2.6 degrees warmer than the long-term average.
The heat record caps off a season full of extremes, with parts of the country experiencing persistent drought, wildfires, record-breaking heat waves, hurricanes and other extreme weather exacerbated by climate change." NBC NEWS
"The megadrought that has gripped the American Southwest since 2000 has reached another milestone, and it’s hardly a cause for rejoicing. A group of scientists who study past, present and future climate in the region have found this two-decade period is now the driest in at least 1,200 years, and say climate change has a lot to do with it."
NY TIMES - HENRY FOUNTAIN - 2022
Without remediation, there is nothing to stop these trends. Peak Heat Day temperatures in the not too distant future may begin to exceed the limit of human tolerance.
It will take only a day or two of literally unbearable heat in any given year to paralyze a great city, and deliver heat prostration and death to millions. Electric grids will fail, air conditioners will stop functioning, and people will have no avenue of escape. SCIENCE MAGAZINE
"Already we’ve seen profound heatwaves and profound death counts to match. They’ve become twice as common in the past few decades, according to some estimates, and climate models predict the trend will only accelerate through the rest of the 21st century—especially if we fail to keep global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7º F) above pre-industrial levels, as the International Panel on Climate Change has urged." DISCOVER
That reddish-brown mass is Antarctica...
...and in March 2022 it was hotter than
a Summer's day in the Sahara Desert.
"The coldest location on the planet has experienced an episode of warm weather this week unlike any ever observed....
with temperatures over the eastern Antarctic ice sheet soaring 50 to 90 degrees above normal. The warmth has smashed records and shocked scientists.
'This event is completely unprecedented and upended our expectations about the Antarctic climate system.' said Jonathan Wille, a researcher studying polar meteorology at Université Grenoble Alpes in France, in an email." WASHINGTON POST • MARCH, 2022
Plantless deserts grow at high speed.
Desertification due to Climate Change heat
significantly enlarges the global desert range every day — with no end in sight. UNITED NATIONS
The Sahara Desert is expanding at the rate of 7,600 square km / 3000 square miles per year; that is approximately twice the area of the entire US state of Rhode Island.
A Runaway greenhouse possibility?
As ambient global temperatures rise, the cycles of warming cause more CO2 from wildfires, on average, to be released into the atmosphere than the previous year. PNAS
Imagine if global warming temperatures increased by just 10%. It's not impossible, yet we would have no answer for that calamity.
Though there are many projections, no one really knows for sure how fast they will rise in the decades to come, as there are just so many factors and variables.
Climate scientists are sure of one thing: They are rising, and we are nowhere close to implementing scalable solutions to the issue.
There's more Carbon Dioxide in the atmosphere today than at any point in the last 800,000 years. CLIMATE.GOV
CO2 released from pollution sources all over the world and the raging wildfires of 2018 all added to the prior total, which set the stage for the spectacular Firestorms which occurred in 2019, 2020, 2021... and now in 2022.
Those, in turn, released so much CO2 that the next few years will do the same, in a viscious cycle with curves more and more diverting from the arithmetic to the exponential.
EARTH OBSERVATORY - NASA
Translation text: A World of Agreement: Temperatures are Rising
Global Temperature Anomaly ( relative to 1951 1980, ºC )
Our society is in danger.
Rising temperatures are beginning to overwhelm every aspect of our lives. As the saying goes, "There will be nowhere to run, nowhere to hide."
It may be time to recognize that we are living in a paradigm that does not allow us to accurately forecast the rate of rising temperatures, or any number of variables about specific climate projections.
ADVANCING EARTH AND SPACE SCIENCE
Perhaps a paradigm shift is required that says, in effect... "The future of Climate Change is generally worse than our most careful science and our best efforts are able to predict."
Then there is the Arctic.
"The Arctic may have crossed a key threshold, emitting billions of tons of Carbon into the air, in a long-dreaded climate feedback loop." WASHINGTON POST
With ambient temperatures undeniably rising, CO2 is considered by some scientists to be a concern for generating a Runaway (i.e. unstoppable) greenhouse scenario.
CLIMATE TIPPING POINTS
Then there is Methane.
Atmospheric Methane (CH4) Increase
For translation: Atmospheric Methane Increase, Mole Fraction
Note that the vertical axis is Methane mole fractions, and not dates.
Methane (CH4) release may be a more potent driver of such an event. There are many natural sources of Methane besides the melting tundra.
The Arctic contains gigatons of potential Methane which could be released before the end of this century. Some climate scientists play down the future role of Methane, and others are deeply concerned about it.
NATIONAL SNOW & ICE DATA CENTER and more generally SCIENCE NEWS
Brand new to the alarming list of Methane-release sources are the "thawing rock formations in the Arctic permafrost." Methane release in this scenario is “potentially in much higher amounts” than in other origins. WAPO
Be a part of the solution, not part of the pollution.
Photo by Callum Shaw on Unsplash_____________________________________
When it comes to human heat tolerance, there's an important distinction between 'dry bulb' and 'wet-bulb' temperature measurements you should know about.
"The temperature you see in weather forecasts is known as dry-bulb temperature, which only measures heat. But scientists often think in terms of wet-bulb temperature, a combined measure of heat and humidity. As the name suggests, it's what a thermometer reads when wrapped in a wet cloth. Essentially, the wet-bulb temperature simulates a sweating human body, making it a better indicator of how well we can handle the air in question.
Sweating gets steadily harder as the wet-bulb temperature rises, but experts agree that 95°F, or 35°C, is the ceiling. Consider the air temperature of Phoenix, Ariz., combined with the humidity of Washington, D.C. At that point, sweat is useless. Within hours, death by overheating is certain — even for a healthy adult, sitting still and naked in the shade with plenty of water." DISCOVER
Clouds may vanish forever.
Blue skies will become a memory.
Future skies will turn a hazy white.
"Recent climate models project that a doubling of atmospheric CO2 above pre-industrial levels could cause temperatures to soar far above previous estimates.
A warming earth, researchers now say, will lead to a loss of clouds, allowing more solar energy to strike the planet."
FEB. 2020 • YALE UNIVERSITY
The Summer of 2022
This past Summer was the year the climate destroying chickens came home to roost— with a vengeance.
The world over, temperatures soared way above previous normal benchmarks.
People sweltered, and all over the world, people perished due to the unremitting heat.
In India and China, in Great Britain and France, in the United States and Canada, and everywhere in between, the oppressive heat was deadly.
It is so important to repeat: Next year will be worse, and the years after ever more deadly. Let's get our heads out of the sand, and get to work on strategies to reverse this plague.
Quelling the Climate Emergency
The question is not "How much will this cost?" but
"What is wanted and needed to completely reverse course?"
Unlike the rapid and dramatic events which precipitated World War II, Climate Change is a slow-moving disaster unfolding over decades.
Many—if not most of us—feel we can ignore getting involved; we shrug our shoulders and feel we have no choice but to "put it off." It seems as if "no one is in charge," which brings a sense of helplessness and resignation.
There is a daunting litany of apparently insurmountable barriers to a global scale implementation of potent solutions. Some of these are a wariness regarding the cost,
magical thinking that some other way—a less expensive way?—will come along to save us, or someone else is fixing the issue and "they" will handle it.
The Climate Emergency is the most important issue facing humanity.
Consider that if we do not make the Climate Emergency our top priority now, the amount of treasure we will be required to spend down the road will dwarf the cost of current proposals. The public deserves to be informed of just how serious the crisis is—and that their political participation is crucial in order to produce a positive outcome.
We might offer the employees who perform fracking and oil / gas extraction—as well as the local outfits and powerful multi-national companies which employ them—the opportunity to transition to much needed climate-related work at attractive pay scales. Those provisions might be both generous and compassionate. It is not helpful to demonize those industries and their employees. If we are serious about creating a paradigm shift, then we might consider that everyone is invited to come along for the new opportunities a climate sensitive model will create. Yes, if you can't get results with an open, sincere and generous hand, then invoke governmental power.
Even if private enterprise is willing, it is likely to be unable to address its corner of the Climate Emergency on its own.
A partnership of industry and government—based on the World War II transformation and repurposing of industry model—may be required to set meaningful goals and timelines in order to give us a fighting chance.
Legislate CO2 pollution 'Out of Business'
It may not be good enough to only offer green alternatives to vehicles, homes and buildings which currently utilize fossil fuels, to planting trees, and to drawing excess CO2 out of the sky.
It is time to legislate sunset dates for specific pollution classes, in the fastest timelines possible and with enough enforcement to see to it that the job gets done. We need to recognize that both tracks are required to get this ship off the shoal.
The lowest hanging fruit are the CO2 spewing cars and trucks—1.5 billion or so which are releasing CO2 into the sky every day. The first level of legislation might set a date for discontinuing the manufacture and sale of new non-green vehicles—for example, a gradual 20% draw-down per year, and a complete halt to their production within five years. Some will say that is an unrealistic timeline. There is no doubt that that is true—as long as we don't consider what we were able to accomplish in three short years time during World War Two in regards to production priorities.
The second level would be the scaling up of Carbon Capture Cars (CCC)—those that remove CO2 as they cruise the highway. With mandatory implementation, their cost will drop considerably, and governments could do all they can to make the transition economically feasible for trade-ins. The third level would be the retrofitting of all non CCC vehicles on the highways within rapid timelines. That activity would be a parallel endeavor of almost equal importance.
Expand the number of "machines" that remove CO2 from the sky, all already at unprecedented scale. Consider the atmospheric CO2 removal power of two billion cars, trucks, buses, RV's, ships, locomotives, factories, homes and all the world's skyscrapers as well— that game plan might just be the fastest method to meaningfully slow CO2 introduction into the sky, and to focus on removing monumental amounts of CO2 too.
Invite your team to think big regarding the number of modalities we actually have at our disposal to reverse climate change, were we to simply open our eyes, wake up, and start using them.
As the outmoded Carbon Dioxide emitting vehicles are retrofitted, and gradually leave the road over a ten-year draw-down, the Carbon Dioxide gulping CCC's will gradually and resolutely take their place. And when implementation is finally complete, with all outmoded vehicles off the road, the CCC vehicles will continue to perform their constant and unstoppable removal of CO2 day and night—for decades—and do it anywhere in the world there is a road, driveway or highway.
Won't consumers object to an automobile which is tasked with CO2 removal and doesn't appear to have any great personal benefit to its owner? Maybe most won't, and it's likely many might. Yet, the history of the automobile is replete with mandated technological improvements—consider lead-free fuels, Dole lights, head rests (to prevent whiplash), safety seat belts—and even turn signals.
Skyscrapers or homes utilizing fossil fuels can be included in this largest scale proposal to support green heating and cooling methods. This aspect of Climate Change is one that is rarely addressed, or even discussed—yet the sheer quantity of CO2 released from buildings in the US, for example, is just a little less than half that of autos and trucks. EPA Governments can legislate, provide financial support, and greatly scale up 100% green methods of heating, while at the same time adding sufficient CO2 Scrubbers such that entire buildings particpate in CO2 extraction.
New York City — "Nearly 70 percent of the city’s total Carbon emissions come from buildings.
A project to retrofit nine buildings with green technology is pioneering a new solution." NY TIMES
Why should we consider more than one Climate Emergency solution?
If Fire Drone technology and planting a trillion trees could solve the CO2 issue, what then is the purpose of CCC vehicles, CO2 storage silos, splitting CO2, or other similar solutions?
Consider the possibility that one plan or another might be blocked by local or national intransigence or red-tape.
Given the existential nature of the threat, positing and implementing many solutions gives us the edge we will need to survive.
Include the citizenry in the conversation. Even if you are not a scientist or engineer, everyone's voice is still needed to hold politicians, corporations and governments feet to the fire.
Apart from horrifying news regarding the endless climate disasters, distributing information about real-world solutions being planned or already implemented might engender stronger commitment, and more robust political support.
We don't have to settle for the "fog of war" mentality that the issue is too big, too costly or beyond our control. Propaganda stark and subtle churns out daily by those who benefit from the status quo; we can learn to publicly call it out.
Lets do the right thing.
You've heard this, and might've even thought it yourself: "It's a little hotter, and there's not much I can do about the animals, birds, insects, plants, corals and rain forests that are perishing daily. It's all so big, and there are no remedies big enough to handle it all, and to come to our rescue."
"Rhinos, elephants, whales and sharks — the list of endangered species is long and depressing. But it’s not just these big, beautiful, familiar animals at risk. Earth is hemorrhaging species, from mammals to fish and insects. The loss of biodiversity we’re facing right now is staggering, thanks to habitat loss, pollution, climate change and other calamities."
Read about ongoing and future mass extinctions here - DISCOVER
Fixing the problem is not easy, but it is doable:
Prepare for the upcoming years and plan out how we will adapt to a hotter world. Implement a 95% halt to anthropogenic CO2 emissions; remove and decommission the excess already in the atmosphere—and possibly the excess heat in the oceans too—as fast as possible. If these were our #1 commitments, then implementing these strategies will go a long way to reversing course.
The state of science, technology, and our societal capacity for innovation can solve the Climate Emergency now in progress. We can rise to the occasion, and fight the good fight once more.
Skin as thick as the bark of a pine.
"Seven generation stewardship is a concept that urges the current generation of humans to live and work for the benefit of the seventh generation into the future. It is believed to have originated with the Iroquois – Great Law of the Iroquois – which holds appropriate to think seven generations ahead (about 140 years into the future) and decide whether the decisions they make today would benefit their children seven generations into the future.
It is frequently associated with the modern, popular concept of environmental stewardship or 'sustainability' but it is much broader in context "in ALL of your deliberations ..."
We do not have the right to destroy the natural world, the oceans, the forests, and the habitats of a myriad of plants and animals. We do not have the right to poison our atmosphere, and leave our children a smoking ruin of a planet. Our portfolios, our bank accounts, and our retirement savings are important. Yet those personal commitments will mean nothing if we don't reverse the rate that CO2 and Methane are being injected every second of every day into the sky.
Communicating the dangers that confront us is a high priority. Real-world approches might be considered. A continuous stream of specific-issue climate objectives could be inserted into Radio/TV/Print/Online commercials and public service messaging. We can field messages that allow people to grow, understand and re-commit to principles consistent with shaping a healthy future.
"In every deliberation, we must consider the impact on the seventh generation...
even if it requires having skin as thick as the bark of a pine."
ITALICIZED TEXT IN THE TWO SECTIONS DIRECTLY ABOVE - WIKIPEDIA
Embrace as many solutions as possible..
then ramp up the ones that work.
Image by OpenClipart-Vectors from Pixabay
The pie chart gives you the idea.
The actual number of solutions we may need is likely far greater.
|Global Climate Emergency solutions will be implemented on unprecedented scales in order to be sufficient to reverse our planet's warming.
|Financial resources will be allocated that are equivalent to the Allied World War II ethos: in order to win the fight, we will borrow and spend whatever amount of funding is required.
|The proverbial clock is ticking. The threat we face is as great as the World War II challenge. Then, the choice was between democracy or tyranny. Today, it is between survival—of our civilization, our children, our planet and all the countless billions of living creatures on it—or apocalypse.
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